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How many copies did STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 81k–132k
$222k–$598k after Steam's cut $404k–$920k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–6.0M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–6.0M copies

≈ $36.3M–$55.0M after Steam's cut

from ~143k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + Design & Illustration + Animation & Modeling; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Wallpaper Engine
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≈ 31.0M–50.3M
7.1x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.