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How many copies did Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$679–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–115k
best case 935k (Baba Is You)
Games like Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–115k copies

≈ $196k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Baba Is You at ≈ 712k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 392 reviews in their first month; the range was 197 to 897.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sokoban (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Logic, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Programming + Logic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Patrick's Parabox
2022
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Slayaway Camp
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$95k–$255k after Steam's cut $172k–$392k before Steam's cut
$8.99
922 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Linelith
2022
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$31k–$82k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Ittle Dew
2013
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$468k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Stephen's Sausage Roll
2016
Est. copies
≈ 84k–137k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$695k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Snakebird
2015
Est. copies
≈ 61k–100k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $215k–$488k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleDifficult
Void Stranger
2023
Est. copies
≈ 90k–145k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$295k–$793k after Steam's cut $537k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle

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