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How big is Wow Dance?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–3k
from 76 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wow Dance and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Wow Dance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–3.1M
best case 12.2M (VRChat)
Games like Wow Dance

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–3.1M copies

≈ $504k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (3 of 4) and Mature (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Anime.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
118x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
Gal*Gun 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$629k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MatureAnime
CUSTOM ORDER MAID 3D2 It's a Night Magic
2019
Est. copies
≈ 45k–72k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$40.00
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Lost: Find
2021
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $102k–$231k before Steam's cut
$3.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MatureSexual Content

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.