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How many copies did Rogue Sentry sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rogue Sentry and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rogue Sentry's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 447–10k
best case 79k (Revita)
Games like Rogue Sentry

A typical game among these

≈ 447–10k copies

≈ $781–$49k after Steam's cut

from ~46 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Revita at ≈ 60k–98k copies, ≈ $282k–$760k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Twin Stick Shooter (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Twin Stick Shooter, priced around $17.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Aqua Boy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
14 reviews
Positive
Revita
2022
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
53x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$760k after Steam's cut $514k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
9th Dawn III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$242k before Steam's cut
$15.99
536 reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashDungeon Crawler
Mages and Treasures
2020
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Gunborg: Dark Matters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$9.99
76 reviews
Very Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Pizza Death
2022
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before Steam's cut
$2.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Top-Down ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
Halcyon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
13 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Megacopter: Blades of the Goddess
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$65k before Steam's cut
$9.99
230 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpTop-Down Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.