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How many copies did Halcyon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Halcyon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Halcyon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 806–7k
best case 46k (The Shadow of Yidhra)
Games like Halcyon

A typical game among these

≈ 806–7k copies

≈ $1k–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~91 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: The Shadow of Yidhra at ≈ 35k–57k copies, ≈ $105k–$283k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 117.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Sexual Content, priced around $11.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

G WARRIOR
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Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$4.99
128 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAction-Adventure
Random Heroes: Gold Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
$4.99
105 reviews
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Hero ShooterSide Scroller
Gunborg: Dark Matters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$9.99
76 reviews
Very Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
The Shadow of Yidhra
2021
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$436k before Steam's cut
$10.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Hard Minus Classic Redux
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Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$367–$986 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
18 reviews
Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Wild West Crops
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$579–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
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Positive
ActionAdventure
Rot Gut
2016
Est. copies
≈ 13k–20k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$2.99
302 reviews
Very Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Alone on Mars
2021
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$3.99
27 reviews
Mixed
AdventureAction

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