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How many copies did Hard Minus Classic Redux sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$367–$986 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hard Minus Classic Redux and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hard Minus Classic Redux's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 55k–109k
best case 769k (Neon Abyss)
Games like Hard Minus Classic Redux

A typical game among these

≈ 55k–109k copies

≈ $210k–$606k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Neon Abyss at ≈ 586k–952k copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 837 reviews in their first month; the range was 540 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (5 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Platformer, priced around $31. The breakout hits carry Loot + Procedural Generation + Replay Value; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Mixed
IndiePixel Graphics
Neon Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 586k–952k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut
$31.49
24k reviews
Very Positive
Will Glow the Wisp
2017
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≈ 58k–94k
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Est. revenue
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
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2k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerBullet Hell
Super Time Force Ultra
2014
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≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$224k–$602k after Steam's cut $407k–$926k before Steam's cut
$14.99
970 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerTime Manipulation
Warhammer 40,000: Shootas, Blood & Teef
2022
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
2.3x vs typical
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$433k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $787k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Very Positive
PvPAdventure
Glimmer in Mirror
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Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
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$16.99
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Early AccessAnime
Portal Dungeon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$122k–$329k after Steam's cut $222k–$506k before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
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Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$121k–$325k after Steam's cut $219k–$499k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerPlatformer

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