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How many copies did Dangerous Lands sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $890–$2k before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dangerous Lands and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dangerous Lands's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–4k
best case 317k (Zula Global)
Games like Dangerous Lands

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–4k copies

≈ $3k–$13k after Steam's cut

from ~90 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Zula Global at ≈ 242k–393k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 312.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Wargame (6 of 8) and Arena Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Action RPG, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Multiplayer + Battle Royale; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
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16x vs typical
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CasualAdventure
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SteamSpy under 20k
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ActionCasual
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2020
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≈ 9k–15k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
380 reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual
Raidfield 2
2020
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≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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ActionShooter
Deputinization
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≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
ActionWar
FIREGROUND Modern War
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
94 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationArena Shooter
Zula Global
2018
Est. copies
≈ 242k–393k
89x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.