How much revenue did FIREGROUND Modern War make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FIREGROUND Modern War sell?

Q: How many copies did FIREGROUND Modern War sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 94 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 94 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FIREGROUND Modern War and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FIREGROUND Modern War's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–359k

best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like FIREGROUND Modern War

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–359k copies

≈ $10k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 29 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 4k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arena Shooter (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Maniac Path 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$99.99	16 reviews Mixed	ActionSurvival
Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok 2024	Est. copies ≈ 157k–256k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
DOOMBRINGER 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut	$14.99	70 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Metroidvania2D Platformer
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.1M–9.9M 75x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	245k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Fish or Chicken Chicken Survivor 2024	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $387–$1k after Steam's cut $704–$2k before Steam's cut	$2.99	19 reviews Positive	Rogue-liteCasual
Hero of Not Our Time 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$0.99	158 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualAction
Echo Point Nova 2024	Est. copies ≈ 199k–323k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSShooter