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How many copies did Hitler Waifu sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–59k
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hitler Waifu and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hitler Waifu's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k
best case 38k (Alien Shooter 2 - The Legend)
Games like Hitler Waifu

A typical game among these

≈ 1k copies

≈ $1k–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~37 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Alien Shooter 2 - The Legend at ≈ 29k–47k copies, ≈ $120k–$322k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 277.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 8) and Arena Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Action-Adventure, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stream Arenas
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
51 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction
Hitler My Friend
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$804–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
119 reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual
Alien Shooter 2 - The Legend
2020
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$120k–$322k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGShooter
Centipede Gun
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$2.99
125 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Vzerthos: The Heir of Thunder
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$9.99
109 reviews
Mostly Positive
Retro2D
Just skill shooter 3: 2d edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$502–$1k after Steam's cut $913–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
37 reviews
Mixed
CasualAdventure
Hanctt Origins
2024
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$755–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
37 reviews
Mixed
RetroRPG
Retro Abyss : Last Wish Of The Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
33 reviews
Positive
Bullet TimeAction

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