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How many copies did Vzerthos: The Heir of Thunder sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
from 109 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vzerthos: The Heir of Thunder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vzerthos: The Heir of Thunder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 388k–910k
best case 2.1M (HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition)
Games like Vzerthos: The Heir of Thunder

A typical game among these

≈ 388k–910k copies

≈ $1.9M–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (7 of 8) and Twin Stick Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 1997 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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ActionTop-Down Shooter
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RUINER
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≈ 431k–700k
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$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
CyberpunkAction
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≈ 916k–1.5M
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Free
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SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
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Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
The Ascent
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≈ 619k–1.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$29.99
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Top-Down ShooterCyberpunk
HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Very Positive
Online Co-OpCo-op

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