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How many copies did HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.1M before Steam's cut
from 33k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.3M
best case 3.9M (Brotato)
Games like HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.3M copies

≈ $9.4M–$20.1M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Brotato at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Action Roguelike, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Ascent
2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$29.99
25k reviews
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Top-Down ShooterCyberpunk
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Super Animal Royale
2021
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
45k reviews
Very Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop
2017
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
Foxhole
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.9M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Mostly Positive
Massively MultiplayerWargame
Alien Swarm
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCo-op
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront
2021
Est. copies
≈ 855k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIHistorical
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike

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