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How many copies did Just skill shooter 3: 2d edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$502–$1k after Steam's cut $913–$2k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Just skill shooter 3: 2d edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just skill shooter 3: 2d edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–96k
best case 573k (F1® 23)
Games like Just skill shooter 3: 2d edition

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–96k copies

≈ $136k–$739k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: F1® 23 at ≈ 437k–710k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 676 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Racing.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy under 20k
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$173k–$464k after Steam's cut $314k–$714k before Steam's cut
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1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessExploration
F1® 23
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Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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VRRacing
Offroad Mechanic Simulator
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Est. copies
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Automobile SimOffroad
Horse Tales: Emerald Valley Ranch
2022
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$201k–$539k after Steam's cut $365k–$830k before Steam's cut
$29.99
981 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationOpen World
Rollerdrome
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Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$467k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
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ActionSports
Sledders
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≈ 121k–197k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
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5k reviews
Very Positive
MotocrossSimulation
Meddl Dash
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≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
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266 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Adventure Climb VR
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Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
425 reviews
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Free to PlaySports

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