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How many copies did Horse Tales: Emerald Valley Ranch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–40k
$201k–$539k after Steam's cut $365k–$830k before Steam's cut
from 981 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Horse Tales: Emerald Valley Ranch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Horse Tales: Emerald Valley Ranch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22.4M–25.3M
best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)
Games like Horse Tales: Emerald Valley Ranch

A typical game among these

≈ 22.4M–25.3M copies

≈ $148.2M–$373.0M after Steam's cut

from ~422k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 179.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Open World (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
The WILDS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$88k before Steam's cut
$4.99
622 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessNature
Badiya: Desert Survival
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut
$19.99
342 reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftProcedural Generation
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Horse Riding Deluxe
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$19.99
45 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorsesExploration
Wilderless: Meadowfell
2025
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$7.99
27 reviews
Positive
Open WorldCasual
Capsa
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
257 reviews
Mixed
Character CustomizationOpen World

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