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How many copies did Oddworld: Abe's Exoddus® sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 107k–174k
$88k–$237k after Steam's cut $160k–$364k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oddworld: Abe's Exoddus® and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oddworld: Abe's Exoddus®'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 331k–412k
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like Oddworld: Abe's Exoddus®

A typical game among these

≈ 331k–412k copies

≈ $767k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Dark + Horror + Puzzle-Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Mark of the Ninja
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
The Bridge
2013
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerHand-drawn
Seen
2019
Est. copies
≈ 288k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessIndie
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
INMOST
2020
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$753k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics

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