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How many copies did Trash Quest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 122 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trash Quest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trash Quest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 228k–334k
best case 2.6M (Rain World)
Games like Trash Quest

A typical game among these

≈ 228k–334k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rain World at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Survival + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Afterimage
2023
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
F.I.S.T.: Forged In Shadow Torch
2021
Est. copies
≈ 181k–293k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$794k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
HAAK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Metroidvania2D Platformer
Wuppo: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Laika: Aged Through Blood
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$919k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericArcade

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