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How many copies did Aero Battle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aero Battle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aero Battle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 163–54k
best case 425k (FPV Kamikaze Drone)
Games like Aero Battle

A typical game among these

≈ 163–54k copies

≈ $535–$132k after Steam's cut

from ~188 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FPV Kamikaze Drone at ≈ 323k–526k copies, ≈ $533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 846 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + War, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fire and Steel
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
$6.99
250 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSimulation
Magocracy: Experimentation
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
FlightSimulation
Furball Over the Front
2025
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$562 before Steam's cut
$4.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionSimulation
XF5700 Mantis Experimental Fighter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$238–$642 after Steam's cut $433–$988 before Steam's cut
$6.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionSimulation
MH-Zombie
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$2.99
126 reviews
Very Positive
FlightArcade
Time of Dragons
2016
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
DragonsFree to Play
Flying Tigers: Shadows Over China
2017
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$131k–$352k after Steam's cut $238k–$541k before Steam's cut
$14.99
923 reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightWorld War II
FPV Kamikaze Drone
2023
Est. copies
≈ 323k–526k
69x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $969k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$5.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAction

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