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How many copies did Time of Dragons sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 69k–112k
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Time of Dragons and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Time of Dragons's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 610–2k
best case 2.2M (ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN)
Games like Time of Dragons

A typical game among these

≈ 610–2k copies

≈ $3k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~21 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 9k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (6 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry PvP + Free to Play + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Century: Age of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
897x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayDragons
Fire and Steel
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
$6.99
250 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSimulation
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
2778x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet
Space Dragon
2017
Est. copies
≈ 447–727
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$14.99
13 reviews
Positive
ActionVR
Aircraft War
2019
Est. copies
≈ 518–842
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$283–$762 after Steam's cut $515–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
18 reviews
Mixed
ActionCasual
Danger Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5 reviews
5 user reviews
On-Rails ShooterBullet Hell
Hyper Echelon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$12.99
68 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpTop-Down Shooter
Skyfear
2025
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$14.99
23 reviews
Positive
Early AccessArena Shooter

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