How much revenue did Skyfear make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Skyfear sell?

Q: How many copies did Skyfear sell?

570 to 927 copies, based on its 23 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 570–927; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut; from 23 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Skyfear and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Skyfear's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122–448

best case 162k (Strike Vector)

Games like Skyfear

A typical game among these

≈ 122–448 copies

≈ $333–$936 after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Strike Vector at ≈ 123k–200k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 17.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arena Shooter (7 of 8) and Flight (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Shooter + Arena Shooter, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Wargame + Multiplayer + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Raidfield 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 10x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	85 reviews Mixed	ActionShooter
Sky Link 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 7.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	67 reviews Very Positive	ActionMassively Multiplayer
Space Nations - Battlearena 2021	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $381–$1k after Steam's cut $693–$2k before Steam's cut	$13.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	Early AccessSimulation
Strike Vector 2014	Est. copies ≈ 123k–200k 259x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mixed	ActionMultiplayer
FIREGROUND Modern War 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$4.99	94 reviews Mixed	ExplorationArena Shooter
Air Strike 2021	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $108–$291 after Steam's cut $197–$447 before Steam's cut	$0.99	16 reviews Mostly Negative	ActionShooter
Dragon War 2021	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut	$9.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	ActionBattle Royale
Paper Dash - Ghost Hunt 2023	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $884–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$9.99	13 reviews Positive	FlightArena Shooter