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How many copies did Air Strike sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$108–$291 after Steam's cut $197–$447 before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Air Strike and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Air Strike's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 59k–161k
best case 485k (Friends vs Friends)
Games like Air Strike

A typical game among these

≈ 59k–161k copies

≈ $242k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Friends vs Friends at ≈ 369k–600k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 393 reviews in their first month; the range was 230 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (6 of 8) and Arena Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Old School, priced around $10.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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ActionRacing
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Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
5.5x vs typical
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$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
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Card GameAction
Zula Global
2018
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≈ 242k–393k
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8k reviews
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Free to PlayFPS
PlanetSide Arena
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Surviv.io - 2D Battle Royale
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≈ 72k–117k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Battle RoyaleTop-Down Shooter
Worms Rumble
2020
Est. copies
≈ 62k–100k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$254k–$684k after Steam's cut $463k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
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MultiplayerBattle Royale
NEKO ARENA
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$1.99
608 reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual

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