How much revenue did Rune Factory 4 Special make?

$484k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rune Factory 4 Special sell?

Q: How many copies did Rune Factory 4 Special sell?

59k to 95k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 59k–95k; $484k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $880k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rune Factory 4 Special and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rune Factory 4 Special's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 950k–2.0M

best case 5.3M (DAVE THE DIVER)

Games like Rune Factory 4 Special

A typical game among these

≈ 950k–2.0M copies

≈ $12.3M–$24.8M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DAVE THE DIVER at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 44k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Farming Sim (5 of 8) and Crafting (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Forager 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.0M–$18.8M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Dinkum 2025	Est. copies ≈ 725k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Coral Island 2023	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimLife Sim
My Time at Sandrock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 722k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut $14.4M–$32.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Life SimBuilding