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How many copies did HUMANITY sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut
from 514 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HUMANITY and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HUMANITY's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.3M–16.5M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like HUMANITY

A typical game among these

≈ 5.3M–16.5M copies

≈ $40.7M–$95.8M after Steam's cut

from ~199k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 56.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
I Love Finding MORE Pups
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$244–$660 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
$11.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualHidden Object
Pets at Work
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
150 reviews
Very Positive
Local Co-OpPuzzle-Platformer
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
DOG'S DONUTS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
36 reviews
Positive
PhysicsLemmings
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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