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How many copies did DOG'S DONUTS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893–1k
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut
from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DOG'S DONUTS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DOG'S DONUTS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–12.1M
best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like DOG'S DONUTS

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–12.1M copies

≈ $15.1M–$51.4M after Steam's cut

from ~136k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 38k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (8 of 8) and Destruction (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
How To Bathe Your Cat: Impossible Mission
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$324–$871 after Steam's cut $589–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
48 reviews
Positive
CatsLemmings
Underland: The Climb
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$1.99
85 reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerDestruction
Underland
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$1.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerDestruction
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Brick Rigs
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.0M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxDestruction
Forts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 876k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingMultiplayer

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