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How many copies did Sokocat - Islands sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$999–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sokocat - Islands and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sokocat - Islands's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–80k
best case 935k (Baba Is You)
Games like Sokocat - Islands

A typical game among these

≈ 45k–80k copies

≈ $127k–$387k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Baba Is You at ≈ 712k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 364 reviews in their first month; the range was 310 to 385.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Sokoban (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Programming + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Snakebird
2015
Est. copies
≈ 61k–100k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $215k–$488k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleDifficult
Ittle Dew
2013
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$468k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
A Monster's Expedition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$241k–$648k after Steam's cut $438k–$997k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleOpen World
Hexologic
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42k–67k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LogicPuzzle
A Good Snowman Is Hard To Build
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$241k–$647k after Steam's cut $438k–$996k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CutePuzzle
Paquerette Down the Bunburrows
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$106k–$284k after Steam's cut $192k–$437k before Steam's cut
$11.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsLogic
Seek Girl Ⅵ
2020
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$67k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentMature

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