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How many copies did ZeroChance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ZeroChance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ZeroChance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 425k–934k
best case 7.4M (Path of Exile 2)
Games like ZeroChance

A typical game among these

≈ 425k–934k copies

≈ $2.0M–$13.8M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Path of Exile 2 at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 259 to 102k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (8 of 8) and Souls-like (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Isometric + Dark Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty
2023
Est. copies
≈ 730k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.6M after Steam's cut $14.6M–$33.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Mixed
ActionSouls-like
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Thymesia
2022
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
Almighty: Kill Your Gods
2021
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
$24.99
405 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessLooter Shooter
Darksiders III
2018
Est. copies
≈ 533k–866k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hack and SlashAction
Nioh: Complete Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeAction
Eastern Exorcist
2021
Est. copies
≈ 168k–274k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$833k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
LIZARDS MUST DIE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$719k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalSouls-like

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.