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How many copies did LIZARDS MUST DIE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 656k–1.1M
$719k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
from 26k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LIZARDS MUST DIE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LIZARDS MUST DIE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–280k
best case 1.8M (Nioh: Complete Edition)
Games like LIZARDS MUST DIE

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–280k copies

≈ $626–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~222 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Nioh: Complete Edition at ≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 15k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Hack and Slash, priced around $50.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

YAR: Forgotten Throne
2026
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$187k–$501k after Steam's cut $339k–$771k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessOpen World
Nioh: Complete Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
176x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeAction
ANCIENT RUS VS LIZARDS
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$419–$1k after Steam's cut $761–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
62 reviews
Mixed
RPGAction
lizards vs Slavs : Arena
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
ActionDifficult
Lizard Slayer
2024
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$101–$272 after Steam's cut $184–$419 before Steam's cut
$0.99
15 reviews
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RPGAction
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
$13.99
213 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Elder Legacy: Survival
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
$9.99
231 reviews
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Early AccessMythology
DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS
2025
Est. copies
≈ 751k–1.2M
136x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$38.9M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashSpectacle fighter

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