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How many copies did Elder Legacy: Survival sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
from 231 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Elder Legacy: Survival and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Elder Legacy: Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–35k
best case 18.3M (Valheim)
Games like Elder Legacy: Survival

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–35k copies

≈ $4k–$344k after Steam's cut

from ~134 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Valheim at ≈ 13.9M–22.6M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 538 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 558k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Martial Arts + Strategy + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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