How much revenue did Little Hats make?

$4k–$11k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Little Hats sell?

Q: How many copies did Little Hats sell?

744 to 1k copies, based on its 30 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 744–1k; $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut; from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Little Hats and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Hats's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27.9M–38.9M

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like Little Hats

A typical game among these

≈ 27.9M–38.9M copies

≈ $205.3M–$343.3M after Steam's cut

from ~622k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 997 reviews in their first month; the range was 143 to 558k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Open World (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Valheim 2026	Est. copies ≈ 13.9M–22.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	562k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Elder Legacy: Survival 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut	$9.99	231 reviews Mixed	Early AccessMythology
Dawn of Defiance 2024	Est. copies ≈ 46k–75k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $253k–$680k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft