How much revenue did OUTLIER make?

OUTLIER is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did OUTLIER sell?

Q: How many copies did OUTLIER sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 73 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; from 73 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OUTLIER and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OUTLIER's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–163k

best case 519k (EVERSPACE™)

Games like OUTLIER

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–163k copies

≈ $176k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~807 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: EVERSPACE™ at ≈ 395k–642k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Action Roguelike, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Super Raft Boat VR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	177 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeVR
Hellsweeper VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 15k–25k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut	$19.99	620 reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashAction Roguelike
Sublevel Zero Redux 2015	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before Steam's cut	$14.99	529 reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
Monstrum 2015	Est. copies ≈ 184k–300k 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $912k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
In Death 2018	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $249k–$670k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	994 reviews Very Positive	VRAction
EVERSPACE™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 395k–642k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	SpaceAction Roguelike
A Legend of Luca 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8k–14k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut	$9.99	204 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Legend of Dungeon 2013	Est. copies ≈ 104k–168k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like