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How many copies did Monstrum sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 184k–300k
$912k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monstrum and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monstrum's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–147k
best case 196k (Sker Ritual)
Games like Monstrum

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–147k copies

≈ $412k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sker Ritual at ≈ 149k–242k copies, ≈ $820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 918 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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3DAction
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2.2x vs typical
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