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How big is Hunger Dungeon?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 94k–153k
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hunger Dungeon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hunger Dungeon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–606k
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Hunger Dungeon

A typical game among these

≈ 73k–606k copies

≈ $9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 764 reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 927.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Battle Royale (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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POLYGON
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UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Pixel Strike 3D
2020
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≈ 310k–503k
3.1x vs typical
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Soviet Jump Game
2020
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Long Live Santa!
2017
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Pixel Battle Royale
2019
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
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