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How many copies did LA FORET DE PAGO 2 : SOUVENIR DE GLACE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LA FORET DE PAGO 2 : SOUVENIR DE GLACE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LA FORET DE PAGO 2 : SOUVENIR DE GLACE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–6k
best case 124k (Billionaire Lovers)
Games like LA FORET DE PAGO 2 : SOUVENIR DE GLACE

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–6k copies

≈ $2k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~73 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Billionaire Lovers at ≈ 95k–154k copies, ≈ $78k–$209k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 1k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Education (7 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Education, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry RPG + Psychological Horror + Emotional; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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