How much revenue did HeatStroke make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did HeatStroke sell?

Q: How many copies did HeatStroke sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 224 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 224 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HeatStroke and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HeatStroke's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–3.9M

best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like HeatStroke

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–3.9M copies

≈ $20.1M–$40.1M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Driving (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Physics + Destruction + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
My Summer Car 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	118k reviews Very Positive	Automobile SimSimulation
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	57k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAutomobile Sim
F1® 2020 2020	Est. copies ≈ 990k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
The Crew™ 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	100k reviews Mostly Positive	RacingOpen World
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Farming Simulator 19 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	76k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Farming Sim
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim