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How many copies did The Centennial Case : A Shijima Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–46k
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Centennial Case : A Shijima Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Centennial Case : A Shijima Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–197k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like The Centennial Case : A Shijima Story

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–197k copies

≈ $16k–$833k after Steam's cut

from ~653 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 364 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Attentat 1942
2017
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$53k–$142k after Steam's cut $96k–$218k before Steam's cut
$10.99
507 reviews
Very Positive
HistoricalCinematic
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise
2025
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$136k–$367k after Steam's cut $248k–$564k before Steam's cut
$15.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
FMVDating Sim
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
70x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Svoboda 1945: Liberation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$88k before Steam's cut
$15.99
194 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerVisual Novel
大禹治水 Flood Fighting Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$6.99
68 reviews
Very Positive
CasualChoose Your Own Adventure
Spy Alliance
2024
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$1.99
799 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationCRPG
Dead Silence - Echoes of the Damned
2025
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
15 reviews
Mostly Negative
Early AccessOpen World

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