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How many copies did Orbital Defence Command sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Orbital Defence Command and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Orbital Defence Command's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 309–73k
best case 568k (Zuma Deluxe)
Games like Orbital Defence Command

A typical game among these

≈ 309–73k copies

≈ $346–$56k after Steam's cut

from ~28 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Zuma Deluxe at ≈ 433k–703k copies, ≈ $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 15.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Puzzle, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Intergalactic Bubbles
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
43x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Sneak In: a sphere matcher game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$551–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
27 reviews
Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Marble Mayhem: Fragile Ball
2015
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
40x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$124k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
32 in 1 Game Special
2022
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$204–$548 after Steam's cut $371–$843 before Steam's cut
$2.99
10 reviews
Positive
CasualArcade
Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
244x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Wall Shooter
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
IndieVR
wonShot
2020
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$196–$527 after Steam's cut $356–$810 before Steam's cut
$0.99
29 reviews
Positive
Shoot 'Em UpTop-Down Shooter
Space Bubbles Must Die!
2025
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
$2.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
CasualAction

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