How much revenue did Project Warlock II make?

$158k–$425k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Project Warlock II sell?

Q: How many copies did Project Warlock II sell?

34k to 55k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 34k–55k; $158k–$425k after Steam's cut $288k–$654k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Project Warlock II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Warlock II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 674k–1.2M

best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like Project Warlock II

A typical game among these

≈ 674k–1.2M copies

≈ $3.8M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 7k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Blood + Character Action Game + Arena Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 778k–1.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
Quake 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.1M–9.9M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	245k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Warhammer 40,000: Boltgun 2023	Est. copies ≈ 454k–738k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$21.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
DOOM II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 572k–930k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ClassicFPS
DOOM + DOOM II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$20.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
Quake II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 659k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
POSTAL: Brain Damaged 2022	Est. copies ≈ 280k–454k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	ShooterAction