How much revenue did Heading Out make?

$98k–$262k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heading Out sell?

Q: How many copies did Heading Out sell?

18k to 29k copies, based on its 716 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 18k–29k; $98k–$262k after Steam's cut $177k–$404k before Steam's cut; from 716 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heading Out and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heading Out's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–18k

best case 144k (StarVaders)

Games like Heading Out

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–18k copies

≈ $10k–$68k after Steam's cut

from ~396 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: StarVaders at ≈ 109k–178k copies, ≈ $751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 226 reviews in their first month; the range was 78 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-lite (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
AI Roguelite 2023	Est. copies ≈ 16k–25k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut	$14.99	628 reviews Very Positive	RPGText-Based
StarVaders 2025	Est. copies ≈ 109k–178k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Deckbuilding
Subway Exorcist Girl 2025	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut	$1.99	331 reviews Very Positive	HorrorExploration
The Ouroboros King 2023	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $39k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$163k before Steam's cut	$9.99	578 reviews Mostly Positive	Turn-Based Tactics Rogue-lite
Achievement Smiles 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$0.99	216 reviews Mixed	Action Roguelike3D Platformer
Love, Internet, and Murder Magic 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$28k before Steam's cut	$3.99	253 reviews Mostly Positive	AnimePsychological Horror
Find the Demon 恶魔鉴定守则 2024	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $22k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before Steam's cut	$7.99	396 reviews Very Positive	Interactive FictionVisual Novel
桃色武林 2024	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $35k–$94k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before Steam's cut	$9.99	511 reviews Mostly Positive	ZombiesSexual Content