How much revenue did Axis Football 2021 make?

$10k–$26k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Axis Football 2021 sell?

Q: How many copies did Axis Football 2021 sell?

3k to 6k copies, based on its 140 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–6k; $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut; from 140 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Axis Football 2021 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Axis Football 2021's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 199k–444k

best case 1.2M (Football Manager 2020)

Games like Axis Football 2021

A typical game among these

≈ 199k–444k copies

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Football Manager 2020 at ≈ 912k–1.5M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Football (American) (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Sports. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Football Manager 2020 2019	Est. copies ≈ 912k–1.5M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSports
Football Manager 2019 2018	Est. copies ≈ 379k–617k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSports
eFootball PES 2020 2019	Est. copies ≈ 752k–1.2M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsFootball (Soccer)
EA SPORTS™ Madden NFL 25 2024	Est. copies ≈ 127k–207k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mixed	SimulationStrategy
PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2019 2018	Est. copies ≈ 180k–293k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Mixed	SportsFootball (Soccer)
PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2018 2017	Est. copies ≈ 142k–231k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Mixed	SportsFootball (Soccer)
Football Manager 2017 2016	Est. copies ≈ 459k–746k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Mixed	SportsFootball (Soccer)
Madden NFL 24 2023	Est. copies ≈ 215k–349k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Mixed	SportsSimulation