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How many copies did Slime Rancher 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
from 50k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Slime Rancher 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Slime Rancher 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 917k–1.1M
best case 1.2M (Fields of Mistria)
Games like Slime Rancher 2

A typical game among these

≈ 917k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Life Sim (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fields of Mistria at ≈ 886k–1.4M copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 57 to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Life Sim (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Dating Sim, priced around $14.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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