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How many copies did Cat Powered UFO sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cat Powered UFO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cat Powered UFO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 222k–294k
best case 3.2M (A Dance of Fire and Ice)
Games like Cat Powered UFO

A typical game among these

≈ 222k–294k copies

≈ $1.8M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Comedy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: A Dance of Fire and Ice at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies, ≈ $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Comedy (3 of 8) and Short (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Rhythm + Music + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dear Esther
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Est. copies
≈ 152k–247k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
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POSTAL: Brain Damaged
2022
Est. copies
≈ 280k–454k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterAction
Ding Dong XL
2018
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$0.99
906 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RunnerDifficult
AMID EVIL
2019
Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Old SchoolBoomer Shooter
A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$5.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy-
2025
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut
$69.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsStory Rich
Frog Detective 1: The Haunted Island
2018
Est. copies
≈ 169k–274k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$232k–$623k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyShort
vApe Escape
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
134 reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click

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