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How many copies did Advent Crossroad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Advent Crossroad and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Advent Crossroad's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–22k
best case 58k (Labyrinth of Refrain: Coven of Dusk)
Games like Advent Crossroad

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–22k copies

≈ $78k–$274k after Steam's cut

from ~462 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Labyrinth of Refrain: Coven of Dusk at ≈ 45k–72k copies, ≈ $612k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 124 reviews in their first month; the range was 34 to 377.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (8 of 8) and JRPG (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeon Crawler + Anime, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Turn-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stranger of Sword City
2016
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$146k–$393k after Steam's cut $266k–$604k before Steam's cut
$19.99
639 reviews
Mixed
Labyrinth of Refrain: Coven of Dusk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 45k–72k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$612k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Undernauts: Labyrinth of Yomi
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $199k–$454k before Steam's cut
$59.99
268 reviews
Mostly Positive
Zanki Zero: Last Beginning
2019
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$332k–$892k after Steam's cut $603k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
698 reviews
Mostly Positive
Wizardry: Labyrinth of Lost Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
$14.99
462 reviews
Mostly Positive
Elminage Gothic
2014
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
$9.99
213 reviews
Mixed
Operation Abyss: New Tokyo Legacy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
$19.99
196 reviews
Mixed
RPGAnime
Wizardry: The Five Ordeals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$151k–$406k after Steam's cut $274k–$624k before Steam's cut
$39.99
553 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.