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How many copies did Arcano: The Trickery sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arcano: The Trickery and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arcano: The Trickery's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 178k–540k
best case 1.0M (Armello)
Games like Arcano: The Trickery

A typical game among these

≈ 178k–540k copies

≈ $843k–$3.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Armello at ≈ 784k–1.3M copies, ≈ $5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 756 reviews in their first month; the range was 653 to 778.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (8 of 8) and Card Game (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 299k–485k
1.7x vs typical
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Armello
2015
Est. copies
≈ 784k–1.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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2014
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Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
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Very Positive
CasualSimulation

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