How much revenue did Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow make?

$16k–$43k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow sell?

Q: How many copies did Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 166 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; $16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut; from 166 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–7.6M

best case 22.4M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)

Games like Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow

A typical game among these

≈ 4.6M–7.6M copies

≈ $75.3M–$158.3M after Steam's cut

from ~156k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.1M–27.8M copies, ≈ $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 69k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Multiplayer + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSuperhero
Far Cry® 5 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	190k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction-Adventure
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Stray 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	179k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CatsAdventure
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Tomb Raider Game of the Year 2013	Est. copies ≈ 17.1M–27.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	271k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction