How much revenue did Warden's Will make?

$35k–$95k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Warden's Will sell?

Q: How many copies did Warden's Will sell?

9k to 14k copies, based on its 345 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9k–14k; $35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$146k before Steam's cut; from 345 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warden's Will and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warden's Will's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 290k–449k

best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)

Games like Warden's Will

A typical game among these

≈ 290k–449k copies

≈ $2.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 103k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Rogue-lite + Looter Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Knockout City™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 208k–338k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerSports
Haste 2025	Est. copies ≈ 355k–577k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Fast-PacedAction
Risk of Rain 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.2M 38x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	353k reviews Very Positive	Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Hand of Fate 2015	Est. copies ≈ 522k–848k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like
Cult of the Lamb 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	130k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingCute
Chinese Online Game 2024	Est. copies ≈ 258k–419k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CRPGAction Roguelike
The Flame in the Flood 2016	Est. copies ≈ 304k–494k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalAdventure
We Who Are About To Die 2022	Est. copies ≈ 207k–337k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$21.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessIndie