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How many copies did Knockout City™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 208k–338k
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Knockout City™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Knockout City™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.2M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like Knockout City™

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.2M copies

≈ $9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (6 of 8) and Football (Soccer) (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive. The breakout hits carry Racing + Online Co-Op + Football (American); a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
FIFA 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Very Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
150k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
NBA 2K22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 964k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mixed
SportsBasketball
eFootball PES 2021 SEASON UPDATE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 945k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
38k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsFootball (Soccer)
NBA 2K23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
51k reviews
Mixed
Immersive SimBasketball

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