How much revenue did Reflection make?

$2k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Reflection sell?

Q: How many copies did Reflection sell?

546 to 887 copies, based on its 22 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 546–887; $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut; from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reflection and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reflection's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–62k

best case 145k (The Entropy Centre)

Games like Reflection

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–62k copies

≈ $32k–$473k after Steam's cut

from ~599 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Entropy Centre at ≈ 111k–180k copies, ≈ $609k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + First-Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Transpose 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	259 reviews Very Positive	VRPuzzle-Platformer
Neverout 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8k–14k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut	$3.99	242 reviews Mixed	AdventurePuzzle
Quantum Conundrum 2012	Est. copies ≈ 136k–221k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $337k–$905k after Steam's cut $612k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$8.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Time Lock VR 1 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $93k–$250k after Steam's cut $169k–$385k before Steam's cut	$12.99	757 reviews Mostly Positive	PuzzleHidden Object
The Entropy Centre 2022	Est. copies ≈ 111k–180k 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $609k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleFirst-Person
Gravity Field 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21k–35k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $176k–$474k after Steam's cut $321k–$729k before Steam's cut	$29.99	862 reviews Mostly Positive	PuzzleScience
Score a goal (Physical football) 2016	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$40k before Steam's cut	$2.99	280 reviews Mixed	PuzzlePhysics
Redactem 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut	$4.99	440 reviews Mixed	CasualIndie