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How many copies did Blade of Darkness sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 64k–105k
$266k–$714k after Steam's cut $483k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blade of Darkness and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blade of Darkness's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–2.7M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Blade of Darkness

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–2.7M copies

≈ $34.8M–$54.9M after Steam's cut

from ~68k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 347k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Souls-like (7 of 8) and Action RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Remnant: From the Ashes
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAction
Lies of P
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$34.0M–$91.5M after Steam's cut $61.9M–$140.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAction
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
CODE VEIN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.0M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAnime
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10.3M–16.7M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
357k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer

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