How much revenue did Fireside make?

$10k–$26k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fireside sell?

Q: How many copies did Fireside sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 93 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut; from 93 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fireside and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fireside's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–98k

best case 1.7M (Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition)

Games like Fireside

A typical game among these

≈ 26k–98k copies

≈ $229k–$775k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition at ≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies, ≈ $11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 307 reviews in their first month; the range was 80 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Life Sim (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Emotional + Story Rich, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Indie + Emotional + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
We. The Revolution 2019	Est. copies ≈ 72k–116k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $394k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $716k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	HistoricalChoices Matter
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M 38x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	54k reviews Very Positive	EmotionalStory Rich
My Child Lebensborn (Original) 2021	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Locomoto 2025	Est. copies ≈ 17k–27k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $114k–$305k after Steam's cut $206k–$470k before Steam's cut	$24.99	666 reviews Very Positive	CozyCharacter Customization
Echoes of the Plum Grove 2024	Est. copies ≈ 78k–127k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Cozy Farming Sim
The Wild at Heart 2021	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $156k–$421k after Steam's cut $284k–$647k before Steam's cut	$24.99	918 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Puzzle
Bear and Breakfast 2022	Est. copies ≈ 133k–217k 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $733k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	CartoonEconomy
Aka 2022	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $62k–$166k after Steam's cut $113k–$256k before Steam's cut	$12.99	699 reviews Mostly Positive	Life SimSimulation