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How many copies did LOFI Katana sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LOFI Katana and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LOFI Katana's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66–415
best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)
Games like LOFI Katana

A typical game among these

≈ 66–415 copies

≈ $253–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~4 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 15 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Rhythm, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Music + Singleplayer + Moddable; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Samurai Beat
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
SwordplayRhythm
Unpatterned Cut
2025
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$9.99
15 reviews
Positive
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
19091x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm
Synth Riders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
419x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$332k–$892k after Steam's cut $603k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
VRRhythm
Kongfusion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$14.99
30 reviews
Positive
VRRhythm
Saber Ship
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
VRSports
TrainingTiles
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
SimulationSports
Beatrect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$364 after Steam's cut $250–$560 before Steam's cut
$19.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualArcade

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