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How many copies did REDSIDE episode 1 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid REDSIDE episode 1 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including REDSIDE episode 1's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 295k–395k
best case 526k (WARNO)
Games like REDSIDE episode 1

A typical game among these

≈ 295k–395k copies

≈ $2.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Cold War (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: WARNO at ≈ 401k–651k copies, ≈ $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 963 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cold War (4 of 8) and Military (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + Military, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cyberhunt
2017
Est. copies
≈ 100k–163k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$138k–$370k after Steam's cut $251k–$570k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
WARNO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 401k–651k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
WargameMilitary
The Precinct
2025
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Gunner, HEAT, PC!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSimulation
Tiny Rogues
2022
Est. copies
≈ 267k–435k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Raid on the Zone
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
FlightShoot 'Em Up
Regiments
2022
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$603k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWargame
Doomsday Jetlag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
2DAction

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