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How many copies did Demon Turf: Neon Splash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
from 221 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Demon Turf: Neon Splash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Demon Turf: Neon Splash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k
best case 31k (Demon Turf: Queens Edition)
Games like Demon Turf: Neon Splash

A typical game among these

≈ 2k copies

≈ $5k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~62 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Demon Turf: Queens Edition at ≈ 23k–38k copies, ≈ $192k–$517k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 51 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 168.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (7 of 8) and Precision Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Parkour, priced around $13.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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